clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Stats to Predict the Pacers vs. Cavaliers First Round Matchup

New, comments

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 51-31 and the Indiana Pacers are 42-40 setting up a 2 vs. 7 first round matchup.

NBA: Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers
Paul George (13) slows the ball down against Lebron James (23) during their April 2 matchup. The Pacers play the Cavaliers in the first round of playoffs starting Saturday at 3 p.m.
David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

It has been a season of up and downs for Indiana Pacers. The Pacers won six games in row during the season only to follow it with a seven game losing streak. During one point of the season the Pacers went 15 straight games without losing or winning back to back games. Paul George and squad closed out the season with five straight wins, each one of which was needed to make the playoffs.

Despite Cleveland’s nine game lead at the end of the season standings the Pacers and Cavaliers have had relatively the same season since the New Year. If the season started on January 1 the Pacers would be 26-22 with a +0.8 point differential. The Cavaliers would be 26-24 with +0.6 point differential.

Then since the All-star break the Pacers are even a little better. Indiana since Feb 24th (first game after the all-star break) are 13-12 with a +1.4 point differential. The Cavaliers during that same stretch are 12-15 with a -1.3 point differential.

Finally there’s Paul George who during the last 12 games has been making his final push for an All-NBA team and the extra $75 million in contract money. PG13 since the All-Star break has averaged 26.4 points per game on 49 percent shooting including 41 percent from three. George has the longest active streak in NBA of players to average 20 or more points per game with 12.

The Pacers and Cavaliers have basically been the same team for close to four months now. The series may be closer then experts think.