FanPost

Roy Hibbert: A Statistical Analysis

Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

I wanted to get a better idea of what has been happening to Roy Hibbert on offense. He played very well tonight against the Knicks, and I know we all hope this continues. Granted, he was facing the likes of Jason Smith and LOUUUU, but it's encouraging to see Roy shoot at such a high percentage (9/11 FG).

No one questions Roy's impact on the defensive end, but I believe there is room for improvement. To look at Roy's offense, I'll use: http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/h/hibbero01.html

For a big, I'm personally looking for offensive efficiency at the rim. I might be a little old-school, but I'm not a big fan of stretch-fives. I want my centers punishing defenders close to the basket. Think Shaq. Roy Hibbert isn't Shaquille O'Neal, but I still expect offensive efficiency at the rim from him as a 7'2'' basketball player. The following is a yearly listing of the percentage of shots Roy Hibbert took within 0-3 feet.

08-09: 48.3%
09-10: 38.0%
10-11: 29.2%
11-12: 35.8%
12-13: 36.0%

13-14: 24.5%
14-15: 18.6%

To make a long story short, more of Roy Hibbert's shots are coming farther away from the rim--only 18.6% of his shots have been within 0-3 feet this year. The following is a yearly listing of the percentage of shots Roy Hibbert took from 10+ feet.

08-09: 16.4%
09-10: 26.9%
10-11: 27.5%
11-12: 18.6%
12-13: 21.6%

13-14: 31.3%
14-15: 41.6%

Over the past two seasons, Roy has taken more shots from 10+ feet than from 0-3 feet. The gap has widened considerably this year. I find this troubling, as I noted earlier I like my big men near the basket. His shooting percentages from these distances (0-3 feet, 10+ feet) have not changed considerably over the course of his career (~57% from 0-3 feet, ~37% from 10+ feet). I'll let you check the site for year-by-year specific percentages.

I'm not sure how this problem can be solved, but I believe it needs to be addressed. Roy Hibbert needs to be operating closer to the basket. He does have a pretty nice looking shot, but I'd rather he save those shots for the free throw line. Throw it down, big fella. You've only made 14 dunks this year (3.6% of all the field goals you have attempted).

I want Hungry-Hungry Hibbert to feed more around the rim. Is that too much to ask?