The NBA CBA negations are currently not going well at all, the NBA season is scheduled to start in 2 months and although I know their are no more scheduled meetings between the owners and the players union for this month I have no idea when the owners and players plan on meeting to discuss a new CBA not to mention the fact that I don't even know how the 22 or 17 (what ever the numbers are) owners of the teams losing money are getting along with the owners of the 8 or 13 teams not losing money in the new CBA negations (again what ever the numbers are Forbes magazine says 17 NBA teams are losing money, ESPN, NBC, and just about everyone else seems to think 22 teams are losing money). The owners want a low number hard cap meaning most if not all veterans contracts cannot be honored and the players are refusing to sign anything involving a hard cap so players like Jamaal Tinsley and Gilbert Arenas can work hard their first 3 seasons in the league on their rookie contracts to get paid so they can slack off, become lazy pot heads, spend money on the stupidest things, become members of the NRA, and not earn their money. And owners want a hard cap to help the teams in debt payoff their debt, but mainly so they can release overpriced players like Dahntay Jones. And to make matters worst the owners want the rookie cap reduced. Personally I think this is a bad move, because the owners need the rookies on their side if they want a hard cap. The reason why I think the owners need the rookies on their side, is because a hard cap or even dropping the rule on honoring veterans contracts will give NBA teams more money to spend on high profile rookies such as Derrick Williams and Ennis Canter. As of right now it seems that the players are for the most part willing to sign any CBA that doesn't involve anything even close to a hard cap, which may suggest that the players could be fine with a transition or franchise tag for veterans which would prevent players like Dwight Howard and CP3 from signing with other teams like the Lakers and Heat for less in hopes of getting a ring, just like Lebron James and Chris Bosh did last off season. But either way the players aren't going to sign any CBA involving anything even close to a hard cap and the owners aren't going to give into honoring most of the veterans contracts. So I strongly believe the NBA lockout will go as follows. Most of the players will play one season over seas, then once they come home they will find out that the money they make over seas won't be enough to have what they want even with their being a hard cap in the NBA. Then in either the summer or fall of 2012 the players will give into some kind of a hard cap, the NBA will lose their contract with ESPN who will likely be giving the contract to either a fight league or the NHL, their won't be any more NBA christmas games (who cares the Pacers never play on christmas anyways) and the next NBA season will either start sometime between September of 2012 and January of 2013 WITH SOME TYPE OF HARD CAP and some type of revenue sharing plan with the players union along with the revenue sharing ABA rule put on hold for the 4 ABA merger teams and possibly a revenue sharing plan (50/50 chance of happening) for the NBA teams making a profit and the NBA teams losing money involving the NBA teams making a profit sharing their revenue with the NBA teams in debt to help them pay off their debt, same hard rookie cap, and some type of transition or franchise tag for veterans (likely one per team).
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