FanPost

Hibbert will have a huge season next year

As one of biggest Roy Hibbert Fans in the world, this post will be undoubtedly bias and base purely on speculation. At the beginning of the 2010-2011 season the entire world thought it was Hibbert's coming out party as we all saw the extreme transformation of his body last summer. Unfortunately the leap was not as great as expected. The league made an adjustment to play more physical and to use Roy's loss of tremendous weight against him, Hibbert could not immediately adjust to the opposition and thus lead to a brutal two month of play. However, for argument sake, if we neglect those two month of play, Roy's per game stats would be be tremendeously different.

Below are Roy's monthly splits last season

SplitGPMinFGM-AFG%AFGMFTM-AFT%AND13PM-A3P%ORebDRebRebASTSTLCHGBLKTOBLKDPF+/-Pts
October 3 34.7 6.0-12.7 47.4 3.3 6.3-7.3 86.4 0.0 0.0-0.0 3.7 6.3 10.0 4.7 0.0 0.0 2.7 2.0 1.7 3.7 10.3 18.3
November 13 29.4 6.6-13.5 49.1 3.6 2.4-3.2 73.8 0.5 0.0-0.1 0.0 3.1 6.3 9.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 1.9 2.6 0.8 3.3 5.0 15.6
December 15 27.7 4.6-11.1 41.6 2.8 1.7-2.6 66.7 0.5 0.0-0.1 0.0 1.9 4.9 6.7 2.1 0.2 0.0 1.7 2.1 0.7 2.9 -4.5 10.9
January 13 22.1 4.0-10.3 38.8 2.0 1.5-2.5 62.5 0.2 0.0-0.0 1.8 5.2 7.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 2.4 -3.5 9.5
February 13 30.7 6.0-12.1 49.7 3.2 3.3-4.3 76.8 0.6 0.0-0.0 2.4 5.0 7.4 1.9 0.4 0.0 1.7 2.0 1.3 3.2 0.5 15.3
March 18 27.7 4.4-8.9 49.4 2.3 2.7-3.3 80.0 0.6 0.0-0.1 0.0 2.2 4.6 6.8 1.9 0.7 0.0 1.9 2.8 0.8 3.4 -1.9 11.4
April 6 26.5 4.7-10.0 46.7 2.5 3.0-4.0 75.0 0.3 0.0-0.2 0.0 1.3 6.5 7.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.7 3.7 2.7 12.3
Last 10 10 28.6 5.0-10.1 49.5 2.6 2.9-3.6 80.6 0.6 0.0-0.1 0.0 1.8 4.8 6.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 1.2 2.3 0.7 3.0 -1.0 12.9
Season 81 27.7 5.1-11.0 46.1 2.7 2.5-3.4 74.5 0.4 0.0-0.0 0.0 2.2 5.3 7.5 2.0 0.4 0.0 1.7 2.3 0.9 3.1 -0.3 12.7

 

CHGBLKTOBLKDPF+/-Pts
0.0 2.7 2.0 1.7 3.7 10.3 18.3
0.0 1.9 2.6 0.8 3.3 5.0 15.6
0.0 1.7 2.1 0.7 2.9 -4.5 10.9
0.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 2.4 -3.5 9.5
0.0 1.7 2.0 1.3 3.2 0.5 15.3
0.0 1.9 2.8 0.8 3.4 -1.9 11.4
0.0 0.8 2.0 0.7 3.7 2.7 12.3
0.0 1.2 2.3 0.7 3.0 -1.0 12.9
0.0 1.7 2.3 0.9 3.1 -0.3 12.7

 

as we can see, Roy had a very very streaky year. In the month of October, November, and Feburary, Hibbert played to the offseason expectations everyone set for him. Nobody expected the drop off we saw in December and January. Those two month completely mitigated Roy's overall season performances. In all of the month except December and January, Hibbert shot a relatively high percentage at around 49%. Roy's struggles simultaneously occur parallel to the Pacers worst stretch of the season. It wasn't just Roy play that took a nose dive, the entire team fell off the cliff for whatever reason. Whatever the case maybe, we can clearly see a direct correlation between the team's performance and Hibbert's play. 

Hibbert effect the game on both ends of the court when he plays. On offense, the vast array of post moves inside and outside with good mobility displayed by Hibbert last season for a man his size and his age is nearly unparalleled in the game as of right now. On the defensive end last season, the Pacers made tremendous strides as a team.  From a perennially defenseless team to one of the top 5 in opponent FG% in just a year is a huge step forward. Many will argue, but Roy Hibbert and a combination of either Hansbrough or Josh Mcroberts were instrumental to the Pacer's huge improvement on defense this past year over a tandem of Murphy and Hibbert from 2009-2010.

Hibbert is his own greatest critic, without a doubt, Hibbert is refining his body and his skills for the upcoming season. Hibbert has all the tools to be GREAT, his greatest obstacle now is consistency and will. Too often last season, Roy's inexperience made him rush his shot, made him panick, and Roy would get down on himself instead of swinging back. Hopefully the playoffs and a extra year of experience will do wonders for Roy in terms of Patience, court awareness, and attitude. At the end of the day, a guy that big with his talent and the greatest desire to become better will eventually blosom in the league, I have no doubt about it, its just the laws of average and a matter of time. 

And as mentioned earlier, my judgement on Roy is completely biased, so to go out on a limb, I would be shock if Roy did not turn into one of the top 5 centers in the league next season!!!

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