It makes me sick that this is even a question.  I always keep an eye on the website basketball-reference.com, you could sit there for hours looking at cool stuff.  The on thing i love looking at is the Hall-of Fame probabilities.  Yesterday, one of the writers posted a F.A.Q. he gets about Reggie's Hall of Fame Odds (mathematically speaking).  I won't ruin it, read for yourself. 

 http://www.basketball-reference.com/blog/?p=1008

What do you all think?