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Trade Prediction: Tinsley to Portland for the 13th Pick

This trade is not a joke, it is going to happen, and you're hearing it here first.  The Portland TrailBlazers are going to trade the 13th overall pick of the 2008 NBA Draft to the Indiana Pacers for veteran point guard Jamaal Tinsley.

Why?

Read on and I will give you seven reasons why this trade is going to occur and if you don't believe me, leave a comment, and I will gladly get back to you with an "I told you so" on the mourning of June 27th, 2008.

Act_jamaal_tinsley_medium

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Seven Reasons Why Portland is Going to Trade the 13th Pick of the First Round in the 2008 NBA Draft to Indiana for veteran PG Jamaal Tinsley:

1. The Blazers worked out one first round prospect for 2 weeks during their pre-draft prospect workouts.  Who was that player?  The same player ever single mock draft on this planet has had the Pacers slated at selecting for months, D.J. Augustin.  Why would the Blazers do this, to build up Augustin's value to the team they're hoping to get a veteran PG from, the Pacers.  Just look at this article written up in The Oregonian, Augustin gives the Blazers another talking point, about how much the Blazers coaching staff and management "love" Augustin.  In first reading the article I thought geez there is a legit possibility the Blazers might trade with us so they can take Augustin, but what on earth would they ever offer the Pacers that would entice them to do so?  The only thing I can think of is Martell Webster, their 6th overall pick of the 2005 Draft, but honestly I don't see them trading their highly touted 21 year old SF to Indiana to trade up for D.J., nor do I see the Pacers interested in another SF, that leaves me with the conclusion that they're doing everything possible to entice the Pacers into selecting Augustin, ultimately setting Portland up to trading their 1st (13th overall) round pick for Tinsley just moments later.

Blazers GM said this in reference to Augustin, "I think this kid is born to be a point guard," Pritchard said.

2. The Blazers have stated numerous times that they want to trade out of the first round and have no interest in getting a so so young player with the 13th pick with the abundance of young talented players they already have on their team (Roy, Aldridge, Webster, Oden, etc.)

http://www.oregonlive.com/sports/oregonian/john_canzano/index.ssf?/base/sports/1210906542273010.xml&coll=7

Blazers beat writer said this in reference to the draft, "Portland needs to trade its 2008 draft pick... It's in General Manager Kevin Pritchard's nature to be active. This is a guy who tied the NBA record for trades in a single day (six) during his first few months on the job. And so now he's charged with getting rid of what will probably be a marginal pick in the first round." said the Oregonians Canzano.

3. The Blazers can afford Tinsley and by the time his contract is up the Trail Blazers will be reading the sign all of their young talent to long term deals.  In recently waiving the constantly injured Darius Miles, severing ties with the over paid swingman has given Portland some cap space.  In doing so taking on Tinsley's contract wouldn't be a big deal at all for a team who has had some of the best drafts in the NBA the past 3-4 seasons, not to mention some of the best luck. With their experience they had with Miles, Tinsley health issues are small potatoes, especially since he always returned to the Pacers lineup at seasons end. In the end the Blazer's luck and good drafts have given them to luxury to take a chance on Tinsley, it is the type of risk that wins championships.

http://www.nba.com/blazers/news/Trail_Blazers_request_waivers_-267482-1218.html

4. Adding Tinsley will give Portland a veteran presence who can distribute the basketball to all of their young players.  Last year when Tinsley was healthy for a good portion of the first third of the regular season, he was averaging over 8 assists per game.  There is no way Blake or Jack will be able to amount to that type of pass first production and with Oden healthy, Roy coming off two amazing seasons, and Aldridge and Webster looking for breakout seasons, a court general and distributor is exactly what their team lacks and is precisely what Portland is looking at add. Keeping in mind Tinsley played a much smaller amount of games, but in the 2007 season the Blazer's current starting PG Steve Blake averaged 8.5 points, 5 assists, and 2 rebounds a game in comparison to Jamaal Tinsley's 12 points, 8.5 assists, and 4 rebounds.

5. On the chance that Tinsley gets injured again the Blazers won't be losing out on their entire season.  In having Blake and Jarrett Jack the Blazers have two legitimate top notch backups, some might call them starters but most would disagree.  With that, on the chance Tinsley stays healthy, the Blazers could be one of the best teams in the NBA.

6. Once the Blazers have Tinsley, they can look to draft a PG in the future that they can groom to grow under Tinsley for 2 years, and when Tinsleys contract is up and they're in the process of signing all of their talent long term, their PG they have been grooming should be ready to step in and the team will sever all ties with Tinsley at that point, but until then they would love to have him! Drafting a top 15 PG is just not in their best interest because it would be extremely difficult to keep all those highly drafted prospects when their rookie contracts start coming to an end, so taking one next year or the year after would be a far smarter move for the team.

7. Portland is ready to win NOW, unless you have a situation like Boston's with three perennial All-Stars you can't put all your marbles in on a young PG leading your team, especially a rookie PG. Rondo was going into his second year, so you can't compare his situation to Augustin possibly leading Portland, especially knowing Portland is already built on young talent, they need veterans somewhere, ding ding ding, Jamal Tinsley, because as I said they also need a point guard, since they have Blake and Jack, what they really need is a veteran point guard, and I am pretty sure the 13th pick isn't getting they Chauncey Billups.

Blakeside_medium

Yahoo! Sports, Portland TrailBlazer's Team Needs:

Needs: Point guard, point guard, point guard. Jarrett Jack, Steve Blake, and Sergio Rodriguez are all serviceable, but they are easily the weakest link in what will become the NBA’s youngest and most talented roster once LaFrentz rocks off next summer. Otherwise, the team is stocked, talented, and under 28 at center, both forward spots, and shooting guard.

ESPN.com Chad Ford, Draft Notes: Which teams might deal their pick?

(Who was up at the top of the list? You guessed it, Portland!)

Portland Trail Blazers: From what I can gather, using the No. 13 pick is a last resort for the Blazers. They have plenty of young players and actually will look to package their first-round pick and a few of their young players to get a veteran point guard or small forward. They too could be in the hunt for Ford or Hinrich.

They have a lot of other assets they could include in a trade, including Jarrett Jack, Martell Webster, Travis Outlaw, Channing Frye and Sergio Rodriguez.

The flip side for Portland? If they keep all of their young players for another year, they could have significant cap room next summer. In other words, it will have to be a good deal for the Blazers to pull the trigger.

---

Who will the Pacers take with the 13th overall pick, after selecting Augustin with the 11th?

Simple, two words, "Big man", "Post presence", and an "Upside player"! I'm praying for Anthony Randolph, but don't be surprised if they take Kosta Koufos, DeAndre Jordan, or even Brandon Rush, I just pray Roy Hibbert isn't on their minds.

(Possible tweaks to the trade, the Pacers could throw in their 2nd round pick, the 41st overall selection of the 2008 Draft, or even their 2nd round selection of 2007 Stanko Barac who is currently playing in the Euroleague)

0 recs | Comment 22 comments

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No chance. None. Zero.

The Blazers are anti-problem players even more than the Pacers now. Why would a team on the up take a trash PG with a big contract. Dream on.

by SethGrandpa on Jun 21, 2008 12:55 AM EDT   0 recs

I Could See This Happening Actually

I was in disbelief when I saw the title that anyone could see this as a logical trade, but after reading it, I definitely can see this happening. The Blazers are good enough to win right now, and Tinsley can provide the veteran experience necessary. With the 13th pick, Kosta Koufus or Joe Alexander would be the best picks.

http://naptownsfinest.com

by Colts Homer on Jun 21, 2008 12:27 PM EDT   0 recs

man Homer I couldnt agree more, could you imagine the excitement of bringing in Augustin and one of those two guys, it would be real fun to be a Pacer fan again!

Brent Jonathan Beck

by Brent Beck on Jun 22, 2008 5:20 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

SethGrandpa

Exactly, Grandpa, look at the New England Patriots, once you have a high character coach with the team for a few years, watered out the bad character players, and built a team completely of good character players, the risk is way lower because of the culture. I am not saying the Blazers are going to bring back Rasheed Wallace, Bonzi Wells, and the Jail Blazers, i’m saying they are opening willing to bring in a 28 year old proven guard with two questions health and character, if he screws up, he is expendable, they can cut him, they can waive him, because as I said, they waived Darius Miles, and have space to do something like this. (just like the Pats did with Moss, and I do understand they had already been winning championships at that time, well think, they did the same thing with problem child Corey Dillon, once the culture is in place, outside elements can be put into the controlled environment, but in no way would they draft a 20 year old PG with character issues by any means)

Brent Jonathan Beck

by Brent Beck on Jun 21, 2008 1:29 PM EDT   0 recs

FYI

Kevin Pritchard has publicly stated that he wouldn’t pick OJ Mayo because of character issues. I rather doubt that he would come anywhere close to making this deal. The Blazers just finished cleaning house. I agree that eventually they be able to absorb a marginal dude….but at this time he feels that the team is too young for that. Maybe when Brandon Roy is 26-27 and a established vet in this league they would go for it…but now now

GO says " Sir, you fornicated vertically…observe the consequences!

by 92wastheyear on Jun 21, 2008 3:13 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

and the money they would be giving him would be coming much from Darius Miles who has done nothing but sit on their bench, obviously the rewards of having Tinsley will be far greater than D. Miles!

Brent Jonathan Beck

by Brent Beck on Jun 21, 2008 1:30 PM EDT   0 recs

Excellent article Brent!

Each one of your reasons was completely believable… If they do get the #13 pick I wouldn’t mind taking Darrell Arthur. Seth- a healthy Tinsley is easily better than every guard in this draft besides Derrick Rose. I think you’re forgetting that Tinsley is an outstanding player. Jamaal is way worth the risk for “Rip City”

by pacers33 on Jun 21, 2008 10:24 PM EDT   0 recs

You guys overvalue Tinsley a lot.

Look I’d LOVE LOVE LOVE if this trade happened. But seriously.

When’s the last time you heard of a team trading away their best PG (who apparently is amazing) when PG their consensus #1 need? If he’s worth the risk to them why is he not worth the risk to us?

Anyway to further illustrate this I’ll attempt to debunk the points brought up. Look I may be wrong, but I doubt it in this situation:

1. While it’s true that the Blazers seem to not want the #13 pick, Tinsley wouldn’t be the best trade offer on the board. In a trade that is actually rumored, not just speculative, they may trade the pick and Webster to Pheonix for Barbosa. A player that is proven, has not character flaws on record, and stays healthy.

2. This is the same point as #1, just rephrased. They don’t want the pick. Got it. I understand the Blazers don’t want the pick, but they’re not going to give it away.

3. If you read the Chad Ford part that you included it says, “If they keep all of their young players for another year, they could have significant cap room next summer. In other words, it will have to be a good deal for the Blazers to pull the trigger.” If you were a GM would you give up loads of soon to be clearing cap space for Tinsley? Really, be honest. His contract is terrible, and that’s not even debatable.Also take into consideration that PGs like Jason Kidd will be on the market next year. Wouldn’t they rather wait and sign Kidd for a title run?

4. They key to this argument is essentially. “Well if he stays healthy”. Let’s look at how many games he’s played the past 5 seasons: 52, 40, 42, 72, 39. Yeah, you wanta put money on him staying healthy?

5. Essentially, you’re saying if he does get hurt it won’t be that huge of a deal. Ok, made my point for me.

6. The idea of “grooming” a PG seems is just dumb. Who’s the last great PG who came in and didn’t start right away? Seriously, I can’t think of one. It’s just not how the NBA works. And even if they “groom” they already have that PG. His name is Sergio Rodriguez. Futhermore, the Blazers aren’t going to be picking top 15 anytime soon. They’re on the up and up and won’t be in the lottery for the foreseeable future.

7. Sure they’re in “win now” mode. But they probably won’t seriously contend for a year or two while their young players get playoff experience. Plus their window for success extends for probably a decade or so with their young talent. Bringing in a guy with bad character has far more chance to wreck the young guys then it is worth.

Some additional points:

1. Having Oden will make the PGs they have look a lot better. When you’ve got two post threats, plus Roy it doesn’t take Steve Nash to rack up assists.

2. The Blazers will be one of the top teams even with their current PGs, they’re very similar to New Orleans this year. They don’t need Tinsley. When you have Roy, Oden, Aldridge (and maybe Webster), you’re looking at a guy to come in and be a minor contributor.

3. You can make it to the Playoffs, heck even the finals without great PG play. Just look at the Finals this year, the PGs for both sides contributed very little (on occasional shot for Fisher, nothing from Cassel and Farmar, some shots late for House, and Rondo not even being a threat to shoot), yet each team got there.

4. Portland is a franchise who is concerned about what their fans think. The fans were so overjoyed to finally get rid of all the bad apples last year. Do you think they’ll be suddenly excited taking on another one? No. Trading for Tinsley would be an incredibly unpopular move in Portland.

But ya know what? We’ll see what happens.

by SethGrandpa on Jun 22, 2008 7:04 AM EDT   0 recs

You saying there is no such thing as grooming a point guard is ridiculous, unless your Derek Rose or Chris Paul, you are surely going to be groomed.

Brent Jonathan Beck

by Brent Beck on Jun 23, 2008 12:43 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Dude, bra, we are rebuilding, our secondest biggest need is a big man, are you saying why to that when we have a 6 time all-star in Jermaine O’Neal? Because its time for youth and we arent looking to win now, but the Cavs would love to get JO, why, need I say more?

Brent Jonathan Beck

by Brent Beck on Jun 22, 2008 11:50 AM EDT   0 recs

Seth G

also, Kidd would be holding up their money when it would be time to sign Webster and Roy long term, which could then effect signing Oden long term. The Blazers “Big Three” if you will are set, they just need to build around them. Once they have them long term they would look to do things like that but until then I really think using the extra money on Tinsley, rather than wasting it is their best move. Going after Hinrich or Ford would be a waste and they would ask for far more than the 13th pick for those prospects. In the end their only option for improving their PG in my mind is Tinsley.

Brent Jonathan Beck

by Brent Beck on Jun 22, 2008 5:15 PM EDT   0 recs

and my main argument wasnt “if he stays healthy”, thats just part of the risk in them doing it and part of the reason why he is at a discount. If he stays healthy, they could without a doubt win now, if not, its time to mark it up for a loss, try to win with what they have and move on. Change of environments are always a big thing with players, especially ones who have spent their entire career with one team and are at the 29-30 mark. Look at the risk and rewards of the Suns taking Barkley, the Bulls taking Rodman, or the Pacers taking Perkins, Mullins, or any of their late veteran additions that helped them to a NBA Finals.

Brent Jonathan Beck

by Brent Beck on Jun 22, 2008 5:18 PM EDT   0 recs

My last point to your argument about the Finals now, yeah the PGs contributed very litte, with the exception of Rondo who came on really strong but do you remember what those teams did to solidify their squads? They both brought in veteran point guards, for what, the playoffs.

Lakers – Derek Fisher, 33 years old

Celtics – Sam Cassell, 38 years old

Fisher started over Farmar who would be a started on most teams, I can easily see Tinsley doing the same for 2-3 years for the Blazers, thats my last point I wanted to bring up in relation to what you said.

Brent Jonathan Beck

by Brent Beck on Jun 22, 2008 5:23 PM EDT   0 recs

Brent, listen to Seth

You submitted the same post at Blazers Edge and 40 of us made the same points that Seth made. The odds of this trade happening are drastically lower than the odds that the earth really is flat.

BTW, isn’t Tinsley palming the ball in that photo?

"I woke up this morning, Barbosa and eggs in my bed." --BlueBooYay

by MiledAnimal on Jun 23, 2008 12:30 AM EDT   0 recs

No its just an optical illusion, Mike Dunleavy, however, in the other photo is dreaming about how awesome it is going to be once he is traded to the Pacers… we will see Thursday

Brent Jonathan Beck

by Brent Beck on Jun 23, 2008 12:42 AM EDT   0 recs

You may be crazy, Mr. B.J. Beck

but I like your enthusiasm and commitment. Go back to your post on Blazers Edge and scroll down to the bottom, where I commented about you.

I like how your name is just Brent Beck but your sig is Brent Jonathan Beck.

"I woke up this morning, Barbosa and eggs in my bed." --BlueBooYay

by MiledAnimal on Jun 23, 2008 1:59 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I thank you M.A.

Im starting to weary on it solidly being Jamaal. Here are my other options

1. Pacers 2010 1st Round Draft Pick
2. Pacers 2009 1st Round Draft Pick
- Both w/ possibly the Pacers 2008 2nd Round Draft Pick
3. The Pacers 2008 2nd Round Draft Pick and the Rights to Stanko Barac

Brent Jonathan Beck

by Brent Beck on Jun 23, 2008 10:22 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

The best way to set the Blazers up for a future of greatness is by using the loopholes are the Bird Rights that all of their young players are going to have. Look at what the 2005 Milwaukee Bucks did with the signing of Simmons and Redd. That is the perfect example of what the Blazers are going to hope to do, and the only way that is possible is by taking a risk on a mid range wage player like Tinsley who can hold up some salary cap for 2 years then bounce, any super star Point Guard and they screw themselves from that opportunity and any young point guard, Rookie Contract lasts how long? Would screw them from doing so as well, so Im still leaning towards the possibility of Tinsley here whether you like it or not, and hey didnt your GM who “loves” good character players pick up Stephen “Cap N Jack” Jackson with the Spurs and won a championship with him, sure did, so your never know! (its kinda like the Bengals, we only want good character guys, 4th round bang, OL Anthony Collins, pending DUI, couple arrests, and recently drove his car through a persons living room, in the end they dont care, its all about WINNING, if youre doing that, nobody cares and easily forgets the past, and i GUARASHEED THAT!)

Brent Jonathan Beck

by Brent Beck on Jun 23, 2008 10:27 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Not Sure

I’m not sure about your comments about Anthony Collins but I hadn’t heard of any arrests or pending DUI’s. Are you sure you don’t mean Jason Shirley? He was a Bengals draft pick who has some DUI problems. Since I live in Lawrence I would think I would have heard about Anthony Collins being in this much trouble.

by ThirtyOne on Jun 23, 2008 3:03 PM EDT   0 recs

ThirtyOne, yeah I meant DT, my apologies, thanks for the correction though, but still the mistake is there… apologies once again!

Not to forget Ahmad Brooks who they took in the supplemental draft…. who recently punched a woman, knocking her out cold in front of a suburb home after an argument!!!

http://www.faniq.com/blog/Bengals-Player-Ahmad-Brooks-Punches-Woman-Blog-8561

(Remember when the debate was around of who were worse the Bengals or the Pacers…. looks like the Bengals are running away with the victory)

Brent Jonathan Beck

by Brent Beck on Jun 23, 2008 3:30 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Blazers trade

That trade will happen as much as ZBO coming back to P-Town….... NO CHANCE…. RIP CITY is alive and well….... New team, New STARS, and after this season NO MILES>>>>> and also NO BACKSTEPS….... So call me out if I’m wrong but I do not see K.P. even batting an eye at this one….....

by O-LiveNachoLibre on Jun 23, 2008 4:09 PM EDT   0 recs

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